← 返回任务列表

1997年股东大会 · 巴菲特与芒格如何看待医药股投资?

28 段 · 3 位说话人 · 原片 2:50
M1
M10:00

Buffett 先生,Munger 先生,我叫 Will Jacks。

Mr. Buffett and Mr. Munger, my name is Will Jacks.
M2
M20:05

我来自 Chicago,而且我是个很开心的股东。

I'm from Chicago, and I'm a happy shareholder.

我首先想感谢二位,愿意把你们的时间和专业见解分享给我们,这是一种很难得的待遇。

I first want to thank both of you for the unusual privilege you give us, your time and your expertise.

这真的非常少见,我觉得很值得称赞。

This is very unusual, and I think it's to be commended.

谢谢。

Thank you.

我的问题是关于美国一个很重要的行业,如果我刚才读材料时没漏掉什么的话,那就是 pharmaceutical industry,也就是生产药品的那些公司。

My question has to do with one of the major American industries that, unless I missed something in the reading, that is the pharmaceutical industry, the companies that make medicines.

我想请问,在什么样的情况下,你们会考虑让 Berkshire Hathaway 投资这个行业?

And I wonder under what circumstances you might consider those industries for investment by Berkshire Hathaway.
M1
M10:50

嗯,这些行业—— pharmaceutical industry 很显然一直是个非常棒的投资行业。

Well, those industries— the pharmaceutical industry has obviously been a terrific industry to invest in.

我们有个困难,或者至少我是有这个困难,就是没法很好地区分这些公司,判断十年之后到底哪些会是最值得持有的。

We have trouble, or at least I have trouble, distinguishing among the companies in terms of seeing which ones 10 years from now might be the best ones to be in.

我的意思是,对我来说,要判断 Coca-Cola 是最值得投的 soft drink 公司,或者 Gillette 是最值得投的 shaving 公司,或者 Disney 是最值得投的 entertainment 公司,都比判断 pharmaceutical industry 里到底哪一家最好要容易。

I mean, it's easier for me to figure out that Coca-Cola is the soft drink company to be in, or Gillette is the shaving company to be in, or Disney is the entertainment company to be in, than it is for me to figure out which one in the pharmaceutical industry.

不过——我不是说这件事做不到。

But that— I'm not saying you can't do it.

我只是说,这对我来说很难。

I'm just saying that that's difficult for me.

对。

Yeah.

我们有——我们几年前开始买过其中一家公司。

We have— we started buying one of them a couple of years ago.

我们本来应该——而且本来应该继续买下去,但我们没这么做,因为它涨了八分之一,你们的董事长就有点不太愿意继续追了。

We should have— and we should have continued, but we didn't because it went up an eighth, and your chairman was a little reluctant to follow it.

那是个非常严重的错误。

That was a terrible mistake.

不过我想说,最大的——而且其实我们在有些时候本来可以把整个行业都买下来,结果也会非常好,尤其是在大家以为 Clinton health program 会构成威胁、这件事给 pharmaceutical industry 蒙上巨大阴影的时候。

But I would say the biggest— and we could have bought the whole industry and done very well at various times, particularly when the threat of what people thought was the threat of the Clinton health program cast a big cloud over the pharmaceutical industry.

那时候你完全可以直接把整个行业都买下来,而且会赚得很好。

That was a time you could have just bought the whole industry and done very well.

我们没这么做。

We didn't do it.

这是个错误。

It was a mistake.

Charlie?

Charlie?
M3
M32:02

嗯,很难想到还有哪个行业,整体上对消费者做过更多好事。

Well, it's hard to think of any industry that's done more good for consumers generally.

你想想以前孩子是怎么去世的,而现在他们很少很少会死去;这一直是个了不起的行业,也是 American civilization 的荣光之一。

When you think of the way children used to die, and now they very seldom die, and it's been a fabulous business, and it's been one of the glories of American civilization.

不过——我们一直很欣赏它,但我们并没有真正参与其中。

But it's— we've admired it, but we haven't been part of it.
M1
M12:29

我们错过了很多东西,我这话是非常认真的。

We've missed a lot of things, and I'm dead serious about that.

而且我们错过的一些东西,本来不应该超出我们的理解能力。

And we've missed things that should not have been beyond our capacity to grasp.

当然,也有很多事情本来就该超出我们的理解能力,但有些并不是那样,只是被我们白白错过了。

There are a lot of things that should be beyond our capacity to grasp, but there are some that haven't been, and they've just been plain missed by us.

一区。

Zone 1.