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巴菲特谈贝索斯:我严重低估了他的商业才华

27 段 · 3 位说话人 · 原片 2:44
F1
F10:00

嗨,我叫 Joey,我是 Wharton 的 MBA 候选人。

Hi, my name is Joey and I'm an MBA candidate at Wharton.

感谢你们邀请我们来。

Thank you for having us.

Amazon 带来了巨大的颠覆,这主要是因为 Jeff Bezos 的卓越才华。Charlie 刚才还说,他是我们这个时代最有商业头脑的人。

Amazon has been hugely disruptive due to the brilliance of Jeff Bezos, whom Charlie earlier called the business mind of our generation.

你现在怎么看 Amazon?还有为什么 Berkshire 一直没有买入它?

What is your current outlook on Amazon and why hasn't Berkshire bought in?
M1
M10:21

这个嘛,是因为我太迟钝了,没看出来后来会发生什么。虽然我很钦佩 Jeff,我钦佩他已经很多很多年了,也一直看着他在做什么,但我当时并不觉得他能成功到今天这样的规模。

Well, because I was too dumb to realize what was going to happen, even though I admired Jeff, I've admired him for a long, long time and, and, and watched what he was doing, but I did not think that he could succeed on the scale he has.

而且我当然也没——我甚至都没想过,Amazon Web Services 或者 cloud 这方面还有这样的可能性。

And I certainly didn't— I didn't even think about the possibility of doing anything with Amazon Web Services or the cloud.

所以,嗯,如果你当时问我,他在搭建零售业务的同时,还会做出一个能颠覆科技行业的东西,这在我看来概率是非常非常小的。

So, uh, if you'd asked me the chances that while he was building up the retail operation that he would also be doing something that was disrupting the tech industry, that would have been a very, very long shot for me.

所以我低估了——我是真的严重低估了他执行层面的才华。

And I've underestimated— I've really underestimated the brilliance of the execution.

我的意思是,在线上做这些事,光有想法是一回事,但真正做成非常需要能力。

I mean, it's one thing to dream about doing this stuff online, but it takes a lot of ability.

你可以去读他一九九七年的 annual report,他当时就已经把路线图写出来了。

And you can read his 1997 annual report, and he laid out a roadmap.

而且他不光做到了,还是大获成功。

And he's done it and done it in spades.

如果你还没看过他三四个月前在 Charlie Rose 节目上的采访,去 charlierose.com 听一听,因为你会学到很多东西。

And if you haven't seen his interview on Charlie Rose 3 or 4 months ago, charlierose.com, go to and listen to it because you'll learn a lot.

至少我是学到了很多。

At least I did.

所以我,我就是,我真的就是——它看起来总是很贵,而且我也从来没觉得他会走到今天这个位置。

So I, I just, I, I just plain— it always looked expensive, and I really never thought that he would be where he is today.

我当时觉得他会做得——我觉得他真的非常聪明。

I thought he would do— I thought he was really brilliant.

但是,不管是三年前、五年前、八年前还是十二年前,当我当时看这件事的时候,我都没觉得他会走到今天这个地步。

But I did not think he would be where he is today when I looked at it 3, 5, 8, 12 years ago, whenever it may have been.

Charlie,你当时怎么会看漏呢?

Charlie, how did you miss it?
M2
M22:02

这太容易看漏了。

It was easy.

他们在那里做成的事情其实非常难,而且当时一点都不明显,不明显到最后一切会像现在这样顺利成功。

What was done there was very difficult, and it was not at all obvious that it was all going to work as well as it did.

我并不为错过 Amazon 的成就感到后悔,不过有些别的机会其实更容易看懂,我觉得我们,我们在那上面是有点搞砸了。

I don't feel any regret about missing out on the achievements of Amazon, but other things were easier, and I think we, we screwed up a little.
M1
M12:30

不,我们就别顺着这条线说下去了。

No, we won't pursue that line.
M2
M22:34

嗯,我指的是 Google。

Well, I meant Google.
M1
M12:38

嗯,我们错过了很多东西。

Well, we missed a lot of things.

对。

Yes.

我们错过了很多东西。

We missed a lot of things.

而且以后还会继续错过。

And we'll keep doing it.
M2
M22:43

对。

Yeah.