M10:00
我想带你们回顾一点历史,呃,基本上是想说明我的观点:如果让你选一个出生的时间和一个出生的地方,而且你不知道自己会是什么性别,不知道自己的智力会怎样,不知道自己有什么特殊才能或者特殊缺陷,那么如果你只能选这一次,你不会选1720年,也不会选1820年,也不会选1920年。
And I would, I would like to take you through a little history, uh, to essentially make my case that if you were to pick one time to be born and one place to be born, and you didn't know what your sex was going to be, you didn't know what your intelligence would be, you didn't know what your special talents or special deficiencies would be, that if you could do that one time, you would not pick 1720, you would not pick 1820, you would not pick 1920.
你会选——你会选今天,而且你会选美国。
You'd pick— you'd pick today, and you would pick America.
当然,有意思的是,自从美国在1789年成立以来,呃,乔治·Washington宣誓就职以来,呃,人们就一直想来这里。
And of course, the interesting thing about it is that ever since America was organized in 1789, um, George Washington took the oath of office, uh, people have wanted to come here.
你能想象吗?
Can you imagine that?
我的意思是,231年来,呃,始终都有人想来这里。
I mean, for 231 years, uh, there's always been people that have wanted to come here.
现在,呃,我的朋友,呃,呃,我觉得他把幻灯片1提前放出来了一点,不过接下来我会根据幻灯片来说。
Now, uh, my friend, uh, uh, I think has jumped the gun just a shade on putting up slide 1, but I'm going to call from some slides as we go along.
但这个国家有意思的地方,就是幻灯片1上写的东西。
But the interesting thing about this country is what is on slide 1.
把它放出来。
Let's put it up.
而且,呃,这是一个异常年轻的国家。
And, and, uh, this is an extraordinarily young country.
现在,我是在拿几个已经相当老的人来比较,不过,不过当你想到我这个年龄、Charlie这个年龄,或者说我们的人生经历——75岁。
Now, I'm comparing it to a couple of guys that are pretty old, but, but when you think about the fact that my age, Charlie's age, or our life experience— 75.
然后我们再把这位年轻人 Greg Abel 算进去。
And then we'll throw in this young guy over here, Greg Abel.
如果我们加起来的人生经历都比美国的寿命还长,那我们就是一个非常非常年轻的国家。
And if our life experiences combined exceed the life of the United States, we are a very, very young country.
但我们取得的成就,简直是奇迹。
But what we've accomplished is miraculous.
现在想想这个历史上的小小片段吧,呃,如果我们看幻灯片2,呃,我试着估算过,呃,好吧,我们回到幻灯片2,就停在幻灯片2上。
Now just think of this, this little spot in history, and And if we'll go to slide 2, uh, I've tried to estimate, uh, well, let's go back and we'll stay with slide 2.
不过在1790年的人口,你知道吗,这里有390万人。
But the population in 1790, you know, we had 3.9 million people here.
呃,很有意思,你去查人口普查数据的时候,会发现1921年商务部大楼发生过一场大火,所以很多人口普查记录都烧没了。
Uh, it's funny, when you look up census figures, you find out that they had a big fire in the Department of Commerce building in 1921, so they lost a lot of the census records.
所以这些数据没那么,呃,没那么完整,有些地方有些缺口,不过美国当时有390万人。
So these are not quite as uh, there's, there's some things where there's a few gaps, but there were 3.9 million people in the United States.
而且实际上,呃,我写的是60万人——更接近70万人。
And actually, uh, I've got 0.6 million— it's closer to 0.7 million.
当时这70万人里有70万是奴隶。
There were 700,000 of those people were slaves at the time.
但这390万人只占全世界人口的百分之0.5。
But those 3.9 million people were one-half of 1%.
哇。
Wow.
占地球人口。
Of the population of the planet.
呃,如果你让那390万人中的任何一个,任何一个人,去想象231年后的生活会是什么样子,即便是最乐观的人——而且让他们——他们可能喝了很多酒,甚至还抽了点大麻,可他们还是无论如何都想象不到,在3代人的时间里——Charlie、我,还有 Greg——在那段时间里,你会看到一个国家,路上有2.8亿辆车来回穿梭,飞机——也许今天没那么多,但它们还会回来的——然后把人们以4万英尺的高度从海岸飞到海岸,只要5个小时。
Uh, and if you'd asked any of those 3.9 million people, any of them, to imagine what life would be like 231 years later, even the most optimistic person And let them— they could have, uh, been drinking heavily and even had a little pot, and they still could not in their wildest dreams have thought that in 3 lifetimes— Charlie's, mine, and Greg's— that in that period you would be looking at a country with 200 and 80 million vehicles shuffling around its roads, airplanes— maybe not today so much, but they'll be back again— and then flying people at 40,000 feet coast to coast in 5 hours.
一州接一州地出现伟大的大学、伟大的医院体系,娱乐也会以1790年代的人根本做梦都想不到的方式送到人们手里。
That great universities would exist in one state after another, great hospital systems, and entertainment would be delivered to people in a way nobody could have dreamt of, uh, in the 1790s.
这个国家在231年里,已经超越了任何人的梦想。
This, this country in 231 years has exceeded anybody's dreams.
它,呃。
It, uh,.