M1
M10:00
谢谢。
Thank you.
我是 Jonathan Schiff，来自中国澳门。
Jonathan Schiff, visiting from Macau, China.
你刚才稍微提到过这个，不过在我们那边，大家对美元作为世界储备货币的地位有很多讨论。
You briefly touched upon this, but on our side of the world, there's a lot of discussion about the US dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.
抱歉，有点回声。
Sorry, there's some feedback.
有点怪。
It's kind of weird.
如果美元失去世界储备货币这个地位，会对美国和全球经济造成什么影响？
What would be the effect upon the US and the world economy if the dollar loses that status as a world reserve currency?
M2
M20:25
这个嘛，我不知道答案，不过我倒是很庆幸，我觉得这件事大概不会变得现实相关。
Well, I don't know the answer to that, but I fortunately don't think it's going to be relevant.
我觉得在未来几十年里，美元都还会是世界储备货币。
I think the dollar will be the world's reserve currency for some decades to come.
我认为 China 和 United States 会是两个超级经济强国，但我看不到任何——我觉得在很多很多年内，如果真的会发生的话，也极不可能有任何一种货币取代美元成为世界储备货币。
I think China and the United States will be the two super economic powers, but I don't see any— I think it's extremely unlikely that any currency supplants the US dollar as the world reserve currency for, for many decades, if ever.
Charlie？
Charlie?
M3
M31:00
嗯，拥有储备货币的国家是有好处的，如果你失去了这个地位，你也就失去了一些优势。
Well, there are advantages to a country that has the reserve currency, and if you lose that, you lose some advantage.
England 在拥有世界储备货币的时候，手里的牌比后来 United States 接过去之后要好得多——事情的本质就是这样，任何伟大的领导者，迟早都会不再是领导者。
England had a better hand when it had the reserve currency of the world than it had later when the United States had the— it's in the nature of things that sooner or later every great leader is no longer the leader.
从长期来看，正如 Keynes 说的，我们最终都会死，而从长期来看——
Over the long run, as Keynes said, we're all dead, and over the long run—.
M2
M21:37
这一段开始进入比较欢乐的部分了。
This is the cheery part of the section.
不过你仔细想想，过去每一个伟大的主导文明——你觉得二十年后美元不再是储备货币的概率有多大？
Well, if you stop to think about it, every great leading civilization of the past— What do you think the probabilities are that the US dollar will not be the reserve currency 20 years from now?
M3
M31:55
哦，我觉得二十年后它仍然会是世界储备货币，但那并不意味着它会永远如此。
Oh, I think it'll still be the reserve currency of the world 20 years from now, but that doesn't mean that it's forever.