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1998年股东大会 · 伯克希尔和它所投资的股票,哪个是更好的投资?

25 段 · 3 位说话人 · 原片 2:51
M1
M10:00

我叫 Bob Swanson,来自 Phoenix。我想问的是,投资 Berkshire Hathaway,相比直接投资 Berkshire 持有的那些股票,有什么优势?

My name is Bob Swanson from Phoenix, and I'm wondering what are the advantages of investing in Berkshire Hathaway as opposed to investing in the stocks that Berkshire owns?
M2
M20:15

这个嘛,很多人会二选一,也有些人两样都投。不过,呃,这个你真的得自己拿主意。

Well, a lot of people do one or the other, and some people do both, but, uh, you have to really make up your own mind on that.

我们不会一路上花很大力气,把 Berkshire 在做的每一件事都详细讲给你听。

We're not going to go to great lengths to tell you about everything that Berkshire is doing as we go along.

而且情况也可能会有变化,Berkshire 里也会发生一些事,是我觉得你在别处很难复制出来的。

And there could be some changes, and there will be things that can happen in Berkshire that I think you would have trouble duplicating elsewhere.

但是反过来说,你也知道,如果你前些年把所有钱都投进 Coca-Cola,那你可能会比投进 Berkshire 赚得更多。

But on the other hand, you know, if you'd put all your money in Coca-Cola some years back, you might have done better than if you put it in Berkshire.

所以,对于大家该怎么处理自己的钱,我们其实不给任何建议。

So we really make no recommendation to what people do with their money.

我们并不想通过 Berkshire 的投资组合操作,实际上把自己变成投资顾问。

We do not seek to become investment advisors through, in effect, our portfolio actions at Berkshire.

Charlie?

Charlie?
M3
M30:57

基本上,我们不喜欢别人一路跟着我们,看到我们买什么,他们就买什么。

Basically, we hate it when people following us follow us around buying what we buy.
M2
M21:04

不是针对谁。

Nothing personal.

对。

No.
M3
M31:09

顺便说一下,刚才上一位提问的人问的是,Berkshire 旗下所有运营子公司,如果拿到市场上拍卖,价值一共是多少?

By the way, the questioner before this last one asked, what is the market value under the hammer of all Berkshire's operating subsidiaries?

答案是,这得你自己去算出来。

And the answer is, you have to figure that out yourself.
M2
M21:26

真是个老好人。

Mr. Nice Guy.

这个范围——嗯,不过顺便说一句,我们给你的信息,已经足够让你在这件事上的判断大致和我们一样好了。

The zone— well, but we give you the information, incidentally, where your judgment on that should be about as good as ours.

像 The Buffalo News、See's Candy、FlightSafety,或者 Dairy Queen,这些公司的估值并没有什么神秘的。

There's nothing mysterious about valuing The Buffalo News or See's Candy or FlightSafety or Dairy Queen.

所以在这方面,你手上的信息其实和我们是一样的。

So you really have the same information we have in that.

我的意思是,如果关于任何一家重要的 Berkshire 子公司,我们手里有重要信息却没有告诉你,那我们愿意把它告诉你,因为我们认为,你有权拿到那些能帮助你给各个部分估值的信息。

I mean, if there's, if there's material information that we aren't giving you about any important Berkshire subsidiary, we'd like to give it to you because we think you are entitled to have the information that enables you to value the various pieces.

以 Berkshire 现在的整体规模来看,不管是市值,还是我们持有的一些头寸,那些较小的子公司,实际上已经不太可能产生那么大的影响了。

Because of the aggregate size of Berkshire now in terms of market capitalization and some of the positions we own, the smaller subsidiaries really cannot have that much effect.

当然,我们一样很喜欢它们。

We love them just as much.

我很享受我们所处的每一门生意,我也很欣赏经营这些业务的人。

I enjoy all of the businesses we're in, and I enjoy the people that run them.

所以我们不会——也不是——我们在公司内部的态度上,不会区别对待。

So we don't make a— there's not— we don't differentiate in our attitude within the company.

但是就 Berkshire 估值的实际影响来说,有不少业务其实——它们对判断 Berkshire 到底值 X,还是值 X 减一千,或者加一千,真的没那么大区别,因为现在这一千点对应到估值上,已经超过十亿美元了。

But in terms of the actual impact on the valuation of Berkshire, there are a number that really just— they just don't make that much difference in terms of figuring out whether Berkshire's worth X or X minus $1,000 or plus $1,000, because $1,000 now is over $1 billion in terms of valuation.

十亿美元依然是一大笔钱。

A billion is still a lot of money.

请 8 区提问。

Area 8, please.