← 返回任务列表

The Real Future of AI and Work

369 段 · 1 位说话人 · 原片 30:10
M1
M10:00

你知道吧,这其实是个特别无聊的话题。

You know, it's a really boring conversation.

AI会不会抢走我们所有的工作?

Will AI take all of our jobs?

很不幸,这就是AI行业一直以来想讨论的工作话题,而且他们已经想了太久了。

This, unfortunately, is the conversation about jobs that the AI industry has wanted to have for far too long.

但好在,随着时间推移,我们终于开始有了一些更深层次的思考。

But finally, we are starting to get a little more thoughtful consideration as more time passes.

结果发现,AI并不是简单地抢走所有工作。

And it turns out AI doesn't just take all the jobs.

AI真正做的是,彻底改变了我们工作的整个格局——无论是从个人层面、团队层面,还是从我们个人能追求什么、团队能追求什么的角度来看。

What AI does do is change the entire landscape of how we work on both individual levels, on team levels, in terms of what we can individually aspire to, in terms of what our teams can aspire to.

包括公司该如何组织自己,以及我们应该优先培养哪些技能。

In terms of how companies should organize themselves, in terms of what skills we should prioritize.

所有这些,才是关于AI和工作真正有趣、有建设性的讨论。

And all of those are the really interesting and productive conversations to have about AI and jobs.

而这正是我们今天要聊的内容。

And that is exactly what we are talking about today.

AI Daily Brief是一个每日更新的播客和视频节目,关注AI领域最重要的新闻和讨论。

The AI Daily Brief is a daily podcast and video about the most important news and discussions in AI.

好了朋友们,在深入话题之前,先快速插播几条公告。

All right, friends, quick announcements before we dive in.
M1
M11:14

记得常去aidailybrief.ai看看。

Now, keep an eye out in general at aidailybrief.ai.

网站上除了有每期节目的完整摘要,还分好了关键引语、关键数据等等;你还可以找到即将举办的活动信息,比如这周8月26号有一场免费的网络研讨会,主题是知识工作者的智能体循环。

In addition to the website having the full summaries of each episode broken into the key quotes, key numbers, et cetera, You can also find out about upcoming events like our free webinar coming up this week on August 26th about agentic loops for knowledge workers.

另外,你还能了解更多关于未来培训项目的信息。

And you'll also get a lot more information about upcoming training programs.

下一期由Nufar Gaspar主持的高管AI领导力项目,将在劳动节后启动。

The next iteration of our Executive Agent Leadership Program led by Nufar Gaspar is kicking off after Labor Day.

再说一次,所有信息都可以在aidailybrief.ai找到。

And again, you can get all of that information at aidailybrief.ai.

今天的节目呢,当然又是周末长读加深度思考的版本。

Now, today's episode is, of course, a weekend long read slash big think episode.

我们的朋友在Every那边,刚好有最适合当下的深度内容。

And our friends over at Every have the perfect big think content for right now.

Every最近宣布了他们的第一届大会,叫Thesis,同时推出了一个新项目叫Thesis Statements,邀请100位建设者和思想家写一些关于AI未来的短文章。

Every recently announced their first conference called Thesis, and alongside it, they announced a new project called Thesis Statements that will have 100 builders and thinkers write short essays about the future that they envision coming with AI.

Every的CEO Dan Shipper是这么说的:我们相信,自动化之后的人类工作还有一个光明的未来,而且有一小群人知道它是什么样子,因为他们每天都在实践这些答案。

Every CEO Dan Shipper put it this way: We believe there is a bright future for human work after automation, and we believe that there's a small group of humans who know what it looks like because they live the answers every day.

但他们的想法,在很大程度上仍然被主流关于AI的讨论所忽视。

But their ideas are still largely missing from the mainstream discourse about AI.

所以我们才要建立一个公开记录,把那些前沿人士现在看到的东西记录下来,让尽可能多的人看到这些想法。

That's why we're creating a public record of what people at the frontier are seeing now, so we can get these ideas to as many people as possible.

如果你想自己去看看,可以访问every.to/thesis-statements。

For those of you who wanna go check it out for yourself, you can find this at every.to/thesis-statements.

当然,我会在节目笔记里放上链接。

I will of course include a link in the show notes.

我们今天要做的,就是看这第一批25篇声明,读一下配套的短文章,然后当然,我也会给出我的想法。

And what we're gonna do is look at a set of these first 25 statements, read the short essays that go along with them, and then of course I'll give my thoughts.

我们会把它们分成几个类别,第一个类别叫基础篇。

We're gonna organize them into a few categories, and the first category we'll call foundations.

我觉得是Dan本人,用他的短文章《自动化之后,人类的工作会比以往任何时候都多》把这整个主题点得很透。

And it is Dan himself who I think puts a fine point on the thesis that surrounds all of this with his short essay, After Automation, There Will Be More Human Work Than Ever.

Dan写道:CEO们、知识工作者和投资者似乎都同意一件事,那就是AI对工作、经济、安全和人类意义构成了威胁。

Dan writes, one thing CEOs, knowledge workers, and investors seem to agree on is that AI is a threat to jobs, the economy, safety, and human meaning.

但如果你去和AI行业里的人聊,或者去和行业外的早期用户聊,你会听到我们在Every内部也注意到同样的事。

But if you talk to anyone in the AI industry or to early adopters outside of it, you'll hear the same thing we've noticed internally here at Every.

工作比以往任何时候都多。

There's more work to do than ever.

我不认为会有一个转折点,事情突然翻转,然后工作就消失了。

I don't believe there will be a tipping point where things flip and the jobs are gone.

新的现实恰恰相反。

The new reality is the opposite.

我们自动化得越多,需要人类专家做的工作就越多。

The more we automate, the more expert human work there is to do.

原因如下。

Here's why.

AI 将人类专业知识的残留部分商品化——也就是那些能够被清晰表达出来、足以用来训练模型的部分。

AI commoditizes the residue of human expertise— whatever can be made explicit enough to train on.

这会压低默认模型输出的价值,同时催生对差异化内容的需求。

That collapses the value of default model output and creates demand for what's different.

对差异化内容的需求就是对人类专家的需求,即使我们正在接近通用人工智能。

Demand for what's different is demand for human experts, even as we approach artificial general intelligence.

我们团队有将近 30 个人,我们并没有为了使用智能体而解雇所有员工。

Every is a team of almost 30 people, and we haven't fired all of our employees in favor of agents.

我们也没有为了用感官编码的应用而放弃软件即服务产品。

We haven't ditched software as a service products in favor of vibe-coded apps.

我们仍然雇佣真人来做客服,同时辅以大量智能体协助;我们仍然雇佣人类写手、编辑和工程师。

We still hire humans to do customer service with a lot of agent assistance, and we still hire human writers and editors and engineers.

当然,AI 智能体会接手更多稳定、可重复、边界清晰的工作层,但仍有大量工作需要人类参与。

Sure, AI agents take over more of the stable, repeatable, well-framed layer of work, but there is a lot of work that still requires a human being in the loop.

我们一次又一次地发现,对于任何复杂的任务,想要得到出色的成果,最好的方式就是让 AI 和人类在同一个工作空间内来回协作。

We've found over and over that for any kind of complex task, the best way to get great work is to have an AI and a human going back and forth in the same workspace.

人类仍然至关重要。

Humans are still vital.

在每一个例子中,智能体都需要人类,工作才能顺利开展。

In every example, the agent needs a human in order for the work to, well, work.

智能体离负责确保它运作良好的人类越远,它的表现就越差。

The further away an agent gets from a human who is in charge of making sure it works well, the less well it works.

必须有人为它指明方向,判断输出是否合格,发现它出错的地方,然后把结果转化为现实中的决策或流程。

Someone has to point it at the right thing, decide whether the output is good, catch the places where it is wrong, and turn the result into a real-life decision or process.

这是因为当前这一代模型只知道那些已经被完成的工作。

That's because the current generation of models only knows about work that has been done.

而人类知道现在需要做什么。

Humans know about what needs to be done right now.

人类能够感知特定的时间、客户、代码库和对话场景,这是训练语料库目前还做不到的。

Humans are alive to a specific time, customer, codebase, and conversation in a way the training corpus isn't yet.

这种“活着”不仅仅是拥有更新的数据。

The aliveness isn't just having more current data.

我们带着自己的背景进入当下,拥有持续不断的新视角——不断变化的愿望、不断变化的关注点,以及对什么重要的一直在更新的判断——这改变了我们所看到的东西。

We come to the moment from somewhere, with a continuous, constantly new perspective of our own— running wants, running concerns, and a running read on what matters— which changes what we see.

因此,让专家工作变得更便宜,并不仅仅是取代专家。

Making expert work cheaper does not therefore simply replace experts.

它反而会创造更多需要专家判断的场合。

It creates more situations where expert judgment is needed.

这是 Dan 对这个项目的一个很好的开头,不过在评论这一部分之前,我想再补充一条。

That's a great start to this whole project from Dan, but before I comment on this particular section, I actually want to pile on one more.

这条来自前战略顾问兼作家 Paul Millerd,标题是《那些宣称工作已被解决的人,自己仍然在工作》。

This one is from former strategy consultant and author Paul Millerd and is called The People Declaring Work Is Solved Will Still Be Working.

Paul 写道:除非我们能大幅拓展现代对工作的理解,否则根本不存在“自动化之后”的状态。

Paul writes, there is no after automation unless we can radically expand our modern conception of work.

目前,我们仍然困在我所称的“工作形状的现实扭曲场”中。

For now, we are stuck in what I call a job-shaped reality distortion field.

我们把所有对工作的理解都压缩成了那些有职位描述和薪水支票的活动。

We flatten any conception of work down to activities with a job description and a paycheck.

在这种现实里,我们把人类变成了数字,谈论着裁员、就业率、弱连接、任务捆绑和劳动总量这些抽象话题。

In this reality, we turn humans into numbers and talk about abstract topics like layoffs, employment rates, weak links, bundles of tasks, and lumps of labor.

工作远比这些要大得多。

Work is much bigger than this.

这个月我一直在凌晨4点安抚新生儿,送3岁孩子去上学,在家做饭,回复邮件,再挤出一点时间写作。

This month I have been busy soothing my newborn at 4 AM, transporting my 3-year-old to school, cooking at home, responding to emails, and carving out a little time for writing.

这些事可能能赚到钱,也可能赚不到。

Which may earn money or not.

尽管有人说我浪费才华、没有工作,但我的日子被各种事填满,而且我很满足。

Despite accusations of wasting my talents and being unemployed, my days are full of work, and I am fulfilled.

与此同时,我们听到硅谷那些23岁的年轻人高声宣称:工作已经被解决了。

At the same time, we hear loud pronouncements from 23-year-olds in Silicon Valley declaring that work is solved.

再过两年,最多三年,就没什么事可做了。

In 2 years, maybe 3, there will be nothing left to do.

但到那时,谁来给我女儿换尿布呢?

But then who will change my daughter's diaper?

这些宣言让我觉得好笑的地方在于,它们出自一群被工作冲昏头脑的人,在通宵写代码的间隙大谈人生哲学。

The thing that makes me laugh about these pronouncements is that they come from people drunk on work, waxing philosophical between all-night coding sessions.

但如果问他们,生活是不是围绕工作设计的,他们会说不是,因为他们的工作是可选的。

But if you ask them if their lives are designed around work, they'd say no because their job is optional.

他们可以跳槽,或者休个假,同时还能从自己所过的、以工作为中心的生活里,获得人类渴望的东西——尊严、挑战、目标感。

They can job-hop or take sabbaticals, all while getting the things humans crave— things like dignity, challenge, purpose— from the lives they inhabit, lives centered around work.

没有这种生活的人就完全搞不懂了。

People without such lives are mystified.

什么叫工作要结束了?

What do you mean work is ending?

对他们来说,工作可不是可选的。

To them, a job is not optional.

你离开办公室,工作也不会结束。

The work doesn't end when you leave the office.

我们还没有足够大的语言来描述未来要去的地方。

We don't yet have language big enough for where we are going.

我们活在一个时代,人们想象世界末日比想象一个空闲的周二下午更容易。

We live in an era in which people have an easier time imagining the end of the world than life with a free Tuesday afternoon.

我们需要摘下工作的眼镜,看到自己的生活已经充满了工作。

We need to take off our job goggles and see that our lives are already full of work.

如果我们花时间去审视工作——不是只盯着有工作形态的那种——也许就能找到前进的方向。

If we took the time to look at work, not just in job-shaped form, we might find our way forward.

所以在这两篇文章里,你们有两个截然不同的终点,却朝着同一个中点前进:那就是永远会有更多的工作。

So in these 2 essays, you have 2 very different ends working towards the same middle: the idea that there will always be more work.

对于你刚刚听到的Paul来说,这意味着我们生活的实质里充满了各种各样的工作,即使不是那种带笔记本电脑和领带的工作。

Now, for Paul, who you just heard, this is in the fact that the substance of our life is full of all sorts of work, even if it's not the kind that comes with a laptop and a tie.

但Dan的说法更直白一些,他用的是我们大多数人理解的工作,也就是我们为了上班所做的工作。

But Dan is a little bit more on the nose and using work in the way that most of us think about work, the work that we do for our jobs.

我自己坚定地站在‘会有更多工作’这一边,不仅是因为我认为Dan说得对——我们应该扩展对工作实质和意义的看法,超越办公室的围墙——而是因为即使在办公室围墙之内,我也认为AI解锁了全新的、值得探索的疆域。

I myself am firmly in the there will be more work camp, and not only because I think Dan is right that we should expand our perspective on the substance and meaning of what we do beyond the office walls, but because literally even in the context of those office walls, I just think AI unlocks radical new horizons to traverse.

就好像我们一直在一间可能很大的房间里,只玩着其中一小块亮着灯的区域。

It's as though we've been playing in one tiny lit quarter of what seems like it might be a huge room.

我们待在老地方,因为只有那里是亮的。

We stay over where we've always been because that's the only part that's lit up.

但突然有人进来打开了灯,房间的大小其实比我们想象的要大得多。

But suddenly someone comes in and throws the lights, and the size of the room is actually monumental compared to what we had thought.

人类的现实就是,我们会争先去发现、去做、去建设、去创造更多。

The reality of humanity is that we will race to discover and do more and build more and create more.

所以我觉得Dan只是提到人类专业知识仍有持续需求时,其实说得还不够。

And so I even think that Dan is underselling it when he just points to the continued need for human expertise.

并不是说他说的有错,而是说,人类工作会比以往更多的更大原因,是我们所有人都能做的事情会急剧扩展。

Not that any of his points are wrong, but that the larger reason there will be more human work than ever is because of a radical expansion of what we can all do.

现在我们转向一些围绕公司以及企业运作方式的具体讨论。

But let's now transition into some specific discourse around companies and how businesses will work.

第一篇文章来自Noah Bryer,他是Alephic的联合创始人,他认为软件公司将胜过软件工厂。

The first essay comes from Noah Bryer, co-founder of Alephic, who argues that software companies will outperform software factories.

Noah说:智能体工程中最隐蔽的失败模式,不是有 bug 的代码。

Noah says, The most insidious failure mode in agentic engineering isn't buggy code.

问题在于,智能体在构建根本性失调的功能、产品和系统。

It's agents building fundamentally misaligned features, products, and systems.

解决这个问题比减少缺陷更大、也更有趣。

Solving that is a bigger and more interesting problem than reducing defects.

这就是为什么我认为软件工厂这个比喻不适合AI工程。

This is why I think the software factory is the wrong metaphor for AI engineering.

挑战不在于如何用六西格玛质量每次冲压出同样的车门板,而在于如何让系统按照我们的愿景、价值观和架构演进。

The challenge is less how to stamp out the same door panel every time with Six Sigma quality than how to evolve a system in line with our vision, values, and architecture.

从这个角度来看,流程更像安迪·沃霍尔的工厂,而不是福特汽车工厂。

In that sense, the process is closer to Andy Warhol's factory than Ford's car factory.

两者都注重产出,但沃霍尔更关心确保所有作品都符合单一的创意愿景。

Both are focused on throughput, but Warhol was more concerned with ensuring all work aligned with a single creative vision.

对企业来说,最难的仍然是创造一个愿景,并让整个团队——人类,现在还包括智能体,以及人类与智能体一起——从系统架构到每一行代码,都朝着这个目标建设。

The hardest problem for a business is still creating a vision and keeping an entire team of humans, and now humans and agents, and humans with agents, building toward it, from the system architecture down to the individual lines of code.

在智能体出现之前很久我就学到,实现这一点更像是在建一家初创公司,而不是组装一辆汽车。

As I learned long before agents existed, achieving this is much more like building a startup than assembling a car.

行业中太多人把软件看作一个需要优化和解决的问题。

Too much of the industry treats software as a problem to be optimized and solved.

对于代码编写和测试来说,这可能没错,但更好的比喻就摆在我们眼前。

That may be true for code writing and testing, but the better metaphor is staring us in the face.

它是一家软件公司,而不是一个软件工厂。

It's a software company, not a software factory.

工厂是更大组织的一部分,其中多层相互依赖的系统以不同速度交互和运转。

A factory is one piece of a larger organization where layers of interdependent systems interact and move at different speeds.

但一家公司,从来就是一群智能体集合在一起,共同建造某样东西。

But a company is, and always has been, a collection of agents brought together to collectively build something.

理解这些智能体的动机,正是打造一个成功软件工厂所需要的,也恰好是软件公司CEO的工作。

Understanding the motivations of those agents is what it takes to build a successful software factory, and conveniently, exactly the job of a software company CEO.

诺亚的文章开始指向一个观点,我认为企业界的AI用户比创业界的AI用户更理解这一点。

Noah's essay here starts to point to something that I think that the enterprise world of AI users actually understands better than the startup world of AI users.

那就是,没有人和制度体系围绕的技术,只是一堆流行词。

That technology, without human and institutional systems around it, is just another set of buzzwords.

但问题在于,我们如何以及为了什么目的来构建这些系统、重新想象这些制度。

Exactly how and to what ends we build those systems and reimagine those institutions, though, is the question.

这就引出了我们下一篇帖子,来自投资人兼作家Tina He的《无聊的基础设施将胜出》。

And that brings us to our next post from investor and writer Tina He: Boring Infrastructure Will Win.

Tina写道,你的客户在凌晨两点决定停止使用你的客户关系管理软件。

Tina writes, your customer decides to stop using your customer relationship management software at 2 AM.

为什么?

Why?

销售代表发现,你每年三万美元的CRM合同只带来一万两千美元的价值。

The sales rep realized that your $30,000 annual contract for your CRM only gives you $12,000 in value.

没有会议,没有谈判,因为销售代表是一个智能体。

There was no meeting, no negotiation, because the sales rep was an agent.

智能体没有忠诚度。

Agents are not loyal.

他们是理性的行动者。

They are rational actors.

他们会在几毫秒内查看数据,并在任何对企业有意义的时候做出改变,哪怕是在半夜。

They look at the numbers in milliseconds and make changes whenever it makes sense for the business, even if it is in the middle of the night.

在某种意义上,他们是冷酷无情的。

They are, in a way, ruthless.

你的软件可能好用又好看,但AI智能体既看不到也不在乎。

Your software can be easy to use and look good, but AI agents neither see nor care.

一些公司会通过构建无头架构——即为机器对机器通信而构建的软件——成为赢家。

Some companies will become winners by building headless architecture, which is software built for machine-to-machine communications.

那些公司不会有任何人类用户,只有智能体。

Those companies won't have any human users, only agents.

其他做得好的业务则出现在那些不能快速行动、不能犯错的地方,比如监管审批、银行和合规系统。

Other businesses that do well are in areas where you can't move fast and make mistakes, like regulatory approval, banking, and compliance systems.

这些公司竞争的不是谁做得最复杂,而是谁在像安全完成电汇这样的任务上效率最高。

These companies aren't competing to be the most sophisticated, but to be the most efficient at things like having wire transfers delivered securely.

未来几年里,拥有这一层的公司将占据优势,能更有效地收集谁该在何时做什么的智能信息。

Over the next few years, the companies that own this layer will have an edge in gathering the intelligence about who should do what and when.

随着模型的能力趋于一致,并开始做出类似的决策,公司将不再比拼谁拥有最好的模型,而是更注重那些将决策连接到实际结果的系统。

As the capabilities of the models converge and start to make the same sorts of decisions, companies will compete less on having the best model and more on the systems that connect those decisions to real-world outcomes.

这些关键系统包括任务路由、数据访问、工作流编排和规则执行。

Some of these essential systems manage task routing, data access, workflow orchestration, and rule enforcement.

那些服务于特定客户、专注于这类具体用例的公司,将胜过那些泛泛的代理型用例。

Companies that are serving specific customers with specific use cases like these will win over broad agentic use cases.

这些商业模式就像收费公路——如果你不想付钱,就得自己建桥。

These business models are like toll roads— if you don't want to pay, you've got to build your own bridge.

而那样可能需要多年时间,并且为了合规要花掉数亿美元。

And that could take years and cost hundreds of millions for compliance.

这就是为什么到头来,那些不那么光鲜的工作可能是最有回报的。

That's why, in the end, the less glamorous work may be the most rewarding.

所以Noah给了我们一个想法,即公司将发生变化,而Tina则从外部视角观察,认为变化之一就是理性和不带有情感的数字化代理人会承担更多任务,并围绕它们建立起全新的支持体系。

So Noah gives us the idea that companies will change, and Tina takes a look from the outside in, as one of the ways that they will change is rational and emotionless digital agents doing more of their bidding, creating a whole new set of support structure around them.

但这对那些正在思考自己和团队的工作该如何改变的领导者来说,意味着什么呢?

But what does this mean for the leaders who are trying to figure out how the work that they do and their teams do should change?

为此,我们请来了Sumit Singh,他是Andreessen Horowitz的前合伙人,现在是Worldbuild的管理合伙人和创始人,他写道:那些把现有工作流AI化的创始人会输。

For that, we turn to Sumit Singh, former Andreessen Horowitz partner and now managing partner and founder of Worldbuild, who writes, founders who AI-ify existing workflows will lose.

过去八年我作为投资人,一直在看同样的模式反复出现。

I've spent the last eight years as an investor watching the same pattern repeat.

随着生成式AI的出现,那个时代已经结束了。

That era has ended with the advent of generative AI.

作为一个投资人,我很兴奋。

As an investor, I'm excited.

AI终于开启了自移动革命以来一直缺失的真正创新潜力。

AI has finally opened up the potential for real innovation that's been missing since the mobile revolution.

但我看到创始人们在构建专业AI产品时,就好像还在打造过去十年的老工具一样。

But I see founders building specialist AI products as if they were building the same tools of the last decade.

那些沿用旧框架的人,即将犯一个大错误。

Those who are playing by the old framework are about to make a big mistake.

那些在AI时代会失败的企业。

The businesses that will fail in the AI era.

就是那些从现有工作流入手,然后把它们AI化的企业。

Are those that start with an existing workflow and AI-ify it.

而能存活下来的企业,会利用模型独特而微妙的特性,去创造以前技术上不可能实现的新工作流。

The ones that will survive will leverage models' unique, nuanced properties to invent new workflows that were not technically possible before.

我称这些为后拟物化应用。

I call these post-skeuomorphic apps.

拟物化是一个陷阱,它假设新技术应该看起来像之前的东西。

Skeuomorphism is the trap of assuming that a new technology should look like what came before.

早期的移动应用常常落入这种模式。

Early mobile apps constantly fell into this pattern.

它们复制了物理世界,比如那个看起来像真实垃圾桶的回收站图标。

They replicated the physical world, like the trash can icon that looked like an actual garbage bin.

但它们没有探索手机能做的独特事情。

But they weren't exploring what our phones could uniquely do.

那些脱颖而出的应用,也完全打破了这种陷阱。

The apps that broke through also broke this trap entirely.

Uber并没有把出租车调度台数字化。

Uber didn't digitize the taxi dispatcher's desk.

它问的是:当每个人口袋里都有一部知道他们位置的手机时,会有什么可能?

It asked, what becomes possible when everyone has a phone in their pocket that knows where they are?

正如投资人Matt Kohler所说,手机变成了你生活的遥控器。

The phone became a remote control for your life, as investor Matt Kohler has said.

在食物方面,就有DoorDash。

For food, DoorDash.

出行方面,有Uber。

For rides, Uber.

买杂货,有Instacart。

For groceries, Instacart.

他们没有去改编现有的工作流程,而是创造了全新的。

They didn't adapt existing workflows, they invented new ones.

AI正处在完全相同的拐点上。

AI is at the exact same inflection point.

最终胜出的创始人们在问一个不同的问题:现在什么变得可能了?

The founders who will win are asking a different question: what becomes possible now?

我们能发明什么样的工作,是只有AI才能让它成为可能的?

What work can we invent that only AI makes possible?

胜出的应用会发现新的工作流程,而我们现在甚至还不知道这些流程会是什么样子。

The winning applications will discover new workflows, and we don't even know what these workflows look like yet.

市面上每一个AI编程工具,首先做的事情都是一样的:它开始写代码。

Every AI coding tool on the market does the same thing first: it starts writing code.
M1
M114:47

在企业AI领域,我经常看到一种现象:企业把所有云、所有模型、所有框架都押上,或者花钱请一家GSI做个没完没了的试点。

One thing I keep seeing in enterprise AI, companies hedging across every cloud, every model, every framework, or paying a GSI for a pilot that never ends.

真正在交付产品的那些团队,他们选了一条道,然后快速推进。

The teams actually shipping, they've picked a lane and they move fast.
M1
M115:19

这种专注很重要,如果你是一位想把真正的东西推向生产环境的企业负责人,或者是一位想把客户从感兴趣变成真正部署的AWS销售代表。

That kind of focus matters if you're an enterprise leader trying to get something real into production, or an AWS rep trying to move a customer from interested to deployed.
M1
M115:34

每一集,我们都会聊OpenAI、Anthropic、SpaceX AI、Google和Meta之间的竞争。

Every episode, we cover the competition between OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX AI, Google, and Meta.

很可能你已经对谁领先有了自己的看法。

Chances are you've already formed an opinion about who's leading.

但每个AI实验室都在采取不同的方法,构建不同的技术,建立不同的合作关系,并发展自己独特的生态系统。

But every AI lab is taking a different approach, building different technologies, forging different partnerships, and developing a unique ecosystem.
M1
M117:12

现在,Sumit,可以理解的是,因为他有在a16z的经历,所以他是从创业公司以及它们构建的东西这个角度来看待问题的。

Now, Sumit, understandably given that he's coming from his experience at a16z, is looking at this from the standpoint of startups and what they build.

但我认为,对于那些正在摸索AI在哪里能提供最大价值的传统企业来说,这一点同样成立,甚至更加成立。

But I think that this is every bit as true, if not more true, for legacy enterprises who are in the midst of figuring out where AI can provide the most value.

我经常把AI分成两大类。

I have often broken this into 2 different categories of AI.

效率型AI和机会型AI。

Efficiency AI and opportunity AI.

要说明的是,效率型AI本身没什么问题。

There is, to be clear, nothing wrong with efficiency AI.

把需要做的事情做得更快、更便宜、更好,这是一件好事。

Doing the things that you need to do faster, cheaper, better is a good thing.

而且它是一个完全合理的起点。

And it is a perfectly reasonable place to start.

然而,如果你认为这项释放能力的强大技术,只会用跟过去一模一样的方式做事,只不过执行者从人变成了智能体,那就从根本上想象错了未来的可能性。

However, to assume that this incredibly powerful capability-unlocking technology will be constrained to doing things the exact same way that they've always been done, just by an agent instead of a human, is to fundamentally misimagine what is possible.

机会型AI,就是去问这些问题:因为你有AI站在你这边,你能去到哪些以前去不了的地方?

Opportunity AI is all about asking those questions about where you can go that you couldn't go before because you have AI in your corner.

要弄清楚机会型AI的最大机会到底在哪儿,对于你自己的业务来说,会难得多,也需要更多的迭代和实验。

It is going to be much more difficult and take much more iteration and experimentation to figure out where the greatest opportunities of opportunity AI actually lie for your particular business.

这就是为什么我一直在强调,要在企业内部为实验留出空间,不要过早砍掉AI项目,也不要用投资回报率去过度衡量它。

This is why I'm constantly beating the drum of needing to create space for experimentation and not prematurely cut off or overly ROI-ify your AI efforts inside the enterprise.

因为如果那样做,人们就会偏向那些只是把旧事情做得更便宜或更快的应用。

As to do so will be to bias people towards those applications, which are just the same old things, but a little cheaper or faster.

这个问题的另一个维度,我平时说得不多,但正是为什么我对那些只靠观察人来训练智能体做同样事情的整体做法有些怀疑。

There is another dimension of this that I haven't spoken about as much, but is why I'm a little skeptical in aggregate of startups whose only job is to watch what people do to train agents to do the same thing.

我一直觉得,说智能体会以和我们一样的方式做同样的工作,这个想法从来没有太说得通。

The idea that agents are going to do the same work that we do in the same way has never struck me as making a lot of sense.

智能体几乎必然会用不同的、原生智能体的方式做事。

Agents are almost inevitably going to do things in different agent-native ways.

那大概会更高效,也更符合它们的长处,但同时还需要另一层面的组织整合,来确保这些新的智能体流程能和人类同步。

Presumably that will be more efficient and native to their strengths, but which will also require another level of organizational integration to make sure that those new agentic processes can be synced with humans as well.

不过,我觉得Sumit说得很对,我们不能以为新世界就是老样子,只是效率更高,这个观点真的特别重要。

Still, I think Sumit's broader point that we can't think that the new world is just going to look like the old, but more efficient, is a very, very important one.

作家Tom Critchlow在他的论文陈述部分,开始稍微探索了一下这个问题。

Writer Tom Critchlow starts to explore this a little bit in his contribution to the thesis statements.

时钟最好的公司,会打败模型最好的公司。

The company with the best clock will beat the company with the best model.

在19世纪之前,全世界并没有一个统一认可的时间。

Before the 1800s, there was no universally agreed-upon time.

但随着火车速度越来越快,每个车站对时变得愈发重要了。

But as trains got faster, it became more important for each station to agree on what time it was.

中午不能在伦敦和布里斯托尔代表两个不同的时间,否则你坐车不是晚点就是早到。

Noon couldn't mean 2 different things in London and Bristol, otherwise you'd always be late or early for your ride.

因此铁路系统统一了时钟,结果就诞生了如今仍在使用的标准时间和时区。

The railway system therefore synced the clocks, and the result was the standard time and time zones that still exist today.

现在我们又得再次调时钟了。

Now we need to change the clocks again.

AI带来了更快的思考速度,但我们还没协调好工作流来跟上这个节奏。

AI has introduced faster thinking, but we haven't yet coordinated our workflows to keep pace.

智能体几秒钟就能完成操作。

Agents operate in seconds.

团队每周才开一次会。

Teams meet weekly.

财务部门按季度做规划。

Finance plans quarterly.

领导层每年才重新审视一次战略。

Leadership revisits strategy annually.

每个部门都活在不同的当下,每个当下都基于不同版本的现实。

Each part of the organization inhabits a different present, each made using a different version of reality.

我们需要一个新的标准时间,一种适应AI时代的新协调机制。

We need a new standard time, a new coordination mechanism for the age of AI.

就叫它标准状态吧。

Call it standard status.

它会是一个持续更新的记录,包含目标、决策、权限和约束,人类和智能体都能共享。

This will be a continuously updated record of goals, decisions, permissions, and constraints shared by humans and agents alike.

这听起来像个工程问题。

This sounds like an engineering problem.

摄入上下文,生成状态,然后持续更新,这样工作者就能保持同步。

Ingest the context, generate a status, and continually update it so that workers can stay in sync.

但保持同步不等于保持目标一致。

But staying in sync is not the same thing as staying aligned.

下一个挑战是应对我们工作方式中固有的模糊性。

The next challenge is to grapple with the ambiguity inherent in the way we work.

团队会议、财务计划和年度规划,这些一直都带有仪式感,它们设计出来就是为了让个人和团队保持目标一致、被听见、有动力。

Team meetings, financial plans, and annual planning were always part ritual, designed as formats to keep individuals and teams aligned, heard, and motivated.

我们能直接放弃这些形式,转而采用标准状态吗?还是说,我们仍然需要继续那种人与人之间沟通确认的过程?

Can we just let go of this theater in favor of standard status, or will we need to continue the human process of just checking in?

说到目标一致,时钟最好的公司可能很快会打败模型最好的公司,但前提是它要记得,知道时间并不等于知道当下需要做什么。

When it comes to alignment, the company with the best clock may soon beat the company with the best model, but only if it remembers that knowing the time is not the same as knowing what the moment requires.

在这个方面,我今年秋天要重点探索的一件事,就是从单人AI转向多人AI,从单个智能体转向团队智能体。

Now, on this front, one of the things that I'm going to be exploring a lot this fall is a shift from single-player AI to multiplayer AI, from individual agents to team agents.

我觉得很多关于协调以及围绕新型协调设计的新系统的内容,都会成为这些对话的核心。

And I think a lot of these aspects of coordination and new systems designed around a new type of coordination are going to be the substance of some of those conversations.

到目前为止,我们一直在谈组织层面,但个人呢?

So far, we've been talking just about the organization, but what about the individual?

尽管这些人几乎都确信AI之后还会有工作存在,但很多人认为这些工作会和现在不太一样。

Even though these folks are pretty much all in the group of being quite sure that there will be jobs that remain after AI, many of them think that those jobs will look somewhat different.

Oboe的CEO Nir Zickerman写道,AI做不了的工作会规模化。

Oboe CEO Nir Zickerman writes that jobs AI can't do will scale.

技术革命总是会引发同样的循环。

Technological revolutions always trigger the same cycles.

工作会从容易自动化的岗位转向不容易自动化的岗位,同时释放空前的生产力。

Jobs shift from ones that are easy to automate to ones that aren't, and unprecedented productivity is unlocked.

我们在AI身上会看到同样的转变。

We'll see the same shift with AI.

与具体且可验证任务相关的岗位会明显减少。

There will be an obvious reduction in jobs related to concrete and verifiable tasks.

但那些AI不太擅长、却可以借助AI以前所未有的规模完成的事情,也会大幅增加。

But there will also be a significant rise in things that AI cannot do well, but which can now be done at unprecedented scale with AI.

LLM已经证明了自己特别擅长接手那些容易验证的具体任务,比如编程。

LLMs have proven exceptionally good at taking over concrete tasks that are easily verifiable, such as coding.

这些岗位会逐渐消失。

These jobs will fade away.

但由于结构性缺陷,LLM在执行需要模糊性、开放性和创造力的任务时能力相当有限。

But due to structural flaws, LLMs are quite limited in their ability to perform tasks that require ambiguity, open-endedness, and creativity.

这些岗位会蓬勃发展。

These are the jobs that will thrive.

创意产业会起飞,原因和数码相机、数字音频工作站、互联网以及社交媒体把我们人人都变成创作者一样。

Creative enterprises will take off for the same reason that digital cameras, digital audio workstations, the internet, and social media turned us all into creators.

需要组织管理和沟通的岗位会比以往任何时候都更重要,那些需要人际互动的岗位也同样如此。

Roles requiring organizational management and communication will become more important than ever, as will those that require human interaction.

系统层面的岗位也会繁荣,因为需要监督大量智能体的需求在增长。

Systems-level roles will also flourish as the need to oversee droves of agents rises.

拿电影行业举例。

Take the film industry.

视频生成模型的兴起最近引发了对电影制作持久性的猜测。

The rise of video generation models has recently stirred up speculation about the durability of moviemaking.

但人类演员演绎人类编剧创作的故事这一点不会改变。

But human actors acting out stories created by human screenwriters aren't going anywhere.

那些是只有人类才能做好的创意事业。

Those are creative enterprises that only humans can do well.

然而,电影制作中涉及的所有其他事情,从融资、选角到后勤管理,都将被简化到前所未有的水平。

Yet all the other stuff that goes into a movie, from financing to casting calls to managing logistics, will be streamlined to levels never before seen.

这将让艺术家承担更多的创意风险,去做以前在技术上或经济上都不可行的事情。

This will allow artists to take more creative risk and to do things that were previously neither technically nor economically feasible.

这需要几十年时间,但就业市场最终会减少大量由琐碎工作组成的岗位,增加更多由人类独特能力构成的岗位。

It will take several decades, but job markets will eventually have far fewer roles made up of busywork and more roles made up of capabilities that humans uniquely possess.

我喜欢这个系列论点的原因之一是,我对AI行业未来预测的一个不满就是,他们一直不愿意深入具体细节。

Now, one of the things that I like about this whole thesis series is that one of my beefs with the future projections from the AI industry has been a historic unwillingness to get into the specifics.

这正是我今年早些时候在一集名为《The New Jobs AI Will Create》中试图解决的问题。

That's what I tried to address with an episode from earlier this year called The New Jobs AI Will Create.

无论你是否同意这个分析,我很高兴看到很多作者都在深入探讨这个确切的问题。

Whether you agree or not with the analysis, I'm glad to see a lot of these authors digging into that exact question.

另一个这样做的作者是Joe Hudson,他是The Art of Accomplishment的创始人。

Another who does that is Joe Hudson, founder of The Art of Accomplishment.

他写道,智慧工作将取代知识工作。

He writes that wisdom work will replace knowledge work.

Joe说,在AI之前,知识让你与众不同。

Before AI, says Joe, knowledge set you apart.

知道得更多意味着赚得更多。

Knowing more meant earning more.

但随着模型一夜之间吞噬整个领域,智慧——比如情绪清晰度、辨别力和连接力等技能——才是让你不可或缺的东西。

But as models swallow entire fields overnight, wisdom— skills like emotional clarity, discernment, and connection— is what keeps you indispensable.

AI模型不睡觉也不会倦怠。

AI models don't sleep or burn out.

一个训练有素的模型很快就能够在任何时间同时超越物理学、法律和工程学专家。

One highly trained model will soon be able to outperform an expert in physics, law, and engineering simultaneously, at any hour.

想象一个世界,你所有的知识都变得无关紧要,就像今天生火的能力一样。

Imagine a world where all your knowledge is irrelevant, akin to the ability to build a fire today.

偶尔有用,但在有灯泡、中央暖气和炉灶的世界里大部分时候没必要。

Occasionally useful, but mostly unnecessary in a world with lightbulbs, central heating, and stovetops.

AI也会让有才华的人更难逃脱文化破坏行为的责任。

AI will also make it harder for brilliant people to get away with culturally destructive behavior.

几十年来,卓越的知识或技能为那些难相处的同事筑起了一道保护墙。

For decades, extraordinary knowledge or skill created a protective moat around difficult colleagues.

人们私下嘀咕着,他们就是这样的人,然后维持着表面和平。

People muttered, that's just how they are, and kept the peace.

但是当AI模型能在几秒内起草文件、诊断异常或优化市场策略,而且态度还很好——为什么还要为一个才华横溢的混蛋支付情感税呢?

But when a model can draft the brief, diagnose the anomaly, or optimize the market strategy in seconds— and do it politely— why keep paying the emotional tax of a brilliant jerk?

但你的技能面临被AI颠覆的风险,并不需要你是个自吹自擂的天才。

But you don't have to be a talented blowhard for your skills to be at risk of AI disruption.

影响力已经从你能做什么转移到了你在做事时如何表现。

The leverage has shifted from what you can do to how you show up while doing it.

当知识不再稀缺,什么还能保持价值?

When knowledge is no longer scarce, what remains valuable?

智慧。

Wisdom.

智慧是关于如何生活。

Wisdom is how to live.

它是错误经过时间和反思消化后留下的精华。

It is the residue of mistakes metabolized by time and reflection.

它不能急于求成,也不能复制粘贴。

It can't be rushed, and it can't be copy-pasted.

它是一种具身的体验——就像身体能感受到的那样。

It is an embodied— as in felt in the body— experience.

来自内心的指引。

Guidance from the inside.

无论AI变得多么智能,它都无法真正生活。它感受不到你在高风险谈判中的身体信号,察觉不到会议室里隐藏的恐惧,也听不到客户礼貌言辞背后未说出口的拒绝。

No matter how intelligent AI becomes, it can't live. It can't feel your body's signal in a high-stakes negotiation, sense the hidden fear in a boardroom, or hear the unspoken no behind a client's polite words.

这就是为什么未来的经济将重视智慧工作者。

That's why tomorrow's economy will prize wisdom workers.

你可以从AI那里得到答案,但如何使用这些答案需要智慧。

You can get answers from AI, but how you use those answers takes wisdom.

Build First 的创始人 Bethany Crystal 认为这不仅仅是智慧。

Build First founder Bethany Crystal thinks it goes beyond just wisdom.

她说,怪异将是人类最好的优势。

Weirdness, she says, will be the best human advantage.

Bethany 写道,回到高中时,我只以我的外号“拉杆箱女孩”闻名。

Bethany writes, back in high school, I was known only by my appointed nickname, Wheelie bag girl.

作为唯一一个用带轮子书包的孩子,我被无情嘲笑,经常独自一人,把收集的名片重新按字母排列,或者给篮球大小的球上加橡皮筋。

As the only kid with a rolling backpack, I was made fun of mercilessly and spent a lot of time alone, re-alphabetizing my business card collection or adding rubber bands to my basketball-sized ball.

我并不介意。

I didn't mind.

作为早期互联网时代的孩子,奇怪和与众不同是常态。

As a child of the early internet, being strange and peculiar was the standard.

然后网络成长了,自我优化了,并要求我们也这么做。

Then the web grew up, optimized itself, and asked us all to do the same.

我听从了。

I listened.

我变得正常了。

I got normal.

然后一切又变了,这一次以AI为核心。

And then it all changed again, this time with AI at the forefront.

如今,我独自经营一家在AI时代前需要五个人的公司。

Today, I run a company solo that would've required 5 humans in the pre-AI age.

但最大的惊喜不是AI让我更高效,而是它让我再次变得怪异。

But the biggest surprise isn't that AI has made me more productive— it's that it's made me weird again.

AI重新引入了一种好玩、实验性的工作方式。

AI has reintroduced a playful, experimental way of working.

朝九晚五的工作模式正在瓦解,变成一系列基于项目的兴趣,专注于手艺和热情。

The 9-to-5 is becoming decoupled into a series of project-based interests, with a focus on craft and passion.

我在给朋友们做宾果卡应用,给客户做高度个性化的歌单。

I'm building bingo card apps for my friends and hyper-personalized playlists for my clients.

我把博客重新弄成了一个自己选结局的冒险故事。

I relaunched my blog as a choose-your-own-adventure experience.

这不赚钱,但这是我多年来一直想做的事。

It's not making me any money, but it's something I'd dreamed about doing for years.

以前在学校,那些怪癖和特别小众的爱好会让人在操场上被排挤。

Back in school, those quirky habits and extreme niches would get you pushed around the playground.

但在后AGI时代,这些东西是唯一让你保持人性的东西。

But in a post-AGI world, they're the only things that keep you human.

如果你把回归奇怪看作,怎么说,AI带来的一个意外好处,那么这种更广泛甚至出乎意料的好处,在好多其他观点里也反复出现。

And if you view the return to weirdness as a, call it, unexpected benefit of AI, this idea of broader, perhaps unexpected benefits is one that runs throughout a number of the other thesis statements as well.

比如说,Abstract Group的联合创始人Emily Vernon认为,AI会激发人们对平庸创意的抵抗。

Abstract Group co-founder Emily Vernon, for example, argues that AI will spur a resistance to mediocre ideas.

Emily说,品牌这个概念本身并不复杂。

Emily says brand as a concept isn't that complex.

它就是一个好点子,在持续执行中不断积累价值。

It's a good idea that compounds over time when executed consistently.

AI确实帮了持续性的忙,但好点子还是很难。

AI is certainly helping with the consistency part, but a good idea is still hard.

现在更难了,因为AI让平庸的创意变得难以抗拒。

It's now even harder because AI makes mediocre ideas irresistible.

为什么还要花六位数和六个月去打造品牌呢?用几个免费的提示词就能生成一个还算凑合甚至有点品味的東西。

Why spend 6 figures and 6 months building your brand when you can generate something passable, even tasteful, with a few quick prompts for free?

我们不该去追品味。

It's not taste that we should be tracing.

先锋电影导演John Waters的号召是,打破好品味的暴政。

Transgressive filmmaker John Waters' call to arms is to break free of the tyranny of good taste.

现在有品味但没特点的品牌又便宜又好做,这种暴政比以往更重了。

Now that tasteful but forgettable brands are cheap and easy to generate, that tyranny is more oppressive than ever.

相反,我们得变得难以预测。

Instead, we have to be unpredictable.

搞创意的人一直都知道,好点子都是不可预测的,神经科学也证实了这一点。

Creative professionals have always known that great ideas are unpredictable, and neuroscience confirms it.

大脑天生就会注意并记住意外。

The brain is tuned to both notice and remember surprises.

它会把可预测的东西标记为可遗忘的。

It registers predictable as forgettable.

既然AI的本质就是可预测,那这就是我们在其中的位置。

As AI's whole premise is being predictable, this is where we fit in the loop.

那么,怎么培养更多不可预测的思维呢?

So how will we foster more unpredictable thinking?

方法还跟以前一样,但更有意识。

The same way we always have, but with more intention.

离开网络去寻求新灵感,扔掉推荐算法,关掉评论和噪音,奖励那些创造好点子的艰苦工作。

Getting off the grid to hunt for new inspiration, ditching recommendation algorithms, muting comments and noise, rewarding the hard work of creating good ideas.

一个品牌得重复同一个想法一辈子。

A brand has to repeat one idea forever.

要让它持久,就让它成为不可预测的一个。

To make it last, make it an unpredictable one.

最后一个贯穿全文的主题,也是我们最后要读的那篇小文章的核心,就是对我们每个人来说,世界和工作方式的转变可能会让我们与周围世界的关系也发生更广泛的转变。

One final theme that runs throughout, and will be the substance of the last mini-essay that we'll read, is the idea that for each of us personally, the shift in the world and in the way we work might enable a broader shift in our relationship with the world around us.

Sublime的CEO兼创始人Sariah Zout认为,这是一份礼物。

Sublime CEO and founder Sariah Zout argues that this is a gift.

她说,你的注意力会被还给你。

Your attention, she says, will be handed back to you.

别浪费了。

Don't waste it.

在人类历史的大部分时间里,体力是阻碍进步的瓶颈。

For most of human history, physical strength was the barrier holding back progress.

然后当工业革命承担了那些重体力劳动,体力劳动变得廉价,价值就转移到了我们能用头脑实现的东西上,而不是四肢。

Then when the Industrial Revolution took over the heavy lifting, physical power became cheaper and value moved to what we could achieve with our minds, not our limbs.

现在,AI正在为脑力做的事情,就像当年机器为肌肉做的事情一样:放大了智力产出。

Now AI is doing for brainpower what machines did for muscles: amplifying intellectual output.

但随着智力变得充裕,价值将再次转移。

But as intelligence becomes abundant, value will move again.

这次转向了内心——那个涵盖了判断力、直觉、品味、自知之明、创造力和智慧的模糊集合。

This time towards the heart— that squishy catch-all for judgment, intuition, taste, self-knowledge, creativity, and wisdom.

因为虽然我们的网络正变得神经化,但我们还无法复制内心的那些狂热冲动。

For while our networks are turning neural, we can't yet replicate the follies of the heart.

在那些成功可以被验证的领域,AI表现出色。

AI is excellent where success can be verified.

但真正重要的工作很少有一个可验证的答案。

But the work that matters rarely has a verifiable answer.

公司应该追求什么策略?

What strategy should a company pursue?

哪款产品值得存在?

Which product deserves to exist?

我们应该支持什么想法?

What idea should we stand behind?

更多的智力无法解决这些问题。

More intelligence cannot resolve these questions.

AI能告诉我们什么是可能的,但它无法告诉我们什么值得追求。

AI can tell us what is probable, but it cannot tell us what is worth wanting.

这并不意味着我们不应该拥抱进步。

This doesn't mean we shouldn't embrace advancement.

我们应该将能自动化的一切都自动化,而不必感到恋旧。

We should automate whatever can be automated without feeling nostalgic.

毕竟,旧的工作世界并不美好。

The old world of work was not great, after all.

没有人应该用自己珍贵的一辈子的时间去手动处理保险索赔。

No one should spend their one wild and precious life manually processing insurance claims.

我们应该把机器接手每项任务看作是把注意力还给了我们。

We should treat every task machines take over as attention handed back to us.

问题在于,我们是利用这些注意力去制造更多工作,还是重新投资于我们那些模糊的技能。

The question is whether we use that attention to manufacture even more work or reinvest it in our squishy skills.

培养品味、信任自己的判断、在没有确定性的情况下做决定,以及对某事足够在乎并为之负责。

Cultivating taste, trusting our judgment, making decisions without certainty, and caring about something enough to take responsibility for it.

如果说工作的上一个阶段属于头脑,那么下一个阶段就属于内心。

If the last stage of work belonged to the brain, the next belongs to the heart.

所以,朋友们,这就是Every在他们的论题陈述里所酝酿的一些东西。

So that, my friends, is a little taste of what Every has cooking with their thesis statements.

这是他们自己的一个项目,但正如我提到的,它与他们11月初举办的Thesis 27活动有关。

It's its own project, but as I mentioned, it is connected to their Thesis 27 event, which is happening at the beginning of November.

我相信他们场地有限,但你可以通过他们的网站申请参加这个活动。

I believe that they have limited room, but you can apply for the event on their website.
M1
M129:48

主要来说,就像我在节目中某处提到的那样,我很兴奋地看到讨论从宏大、模糊、宽泛的陈述转向更深入、更细致的解释——即使因为未来的不可知性,它们依然会保持宽泛和模糊。

Mostly, as I said at some point in this show, I'm very excited to see the conversations shifting from big, vague, broad statements to more deeper, more nuanced explanations, if even by nature of the unknowability of the future, they do remain broad and vague.

希望这是你周末消磨时间的有趣方式,但现在,今天的AI Daily Brief就到这里了。

Hope this was a fun way to spend some time this weekend, but for now, that's gonna do it for today's AI Daily Brief.

一如既往感谢你的收听或观看,下次见,祝好。

Appreciate you listening or watching as always, and until next time, peace.
已剔除 6 处广告(点击展开查看)
M1
M10:59广告 · 已剔除

First of all, thank you to today's sponsors, Blitzy, Robots and Pencils, Harbor, and HyperAgent.

To get an ad-free version of the show, go to patreon.com/AIDailyBrief, or you can subscribe on Apple Podcasts.

And to learn more about sponsoring the show, send us a note at [email protected].

M1
M114:05广告 · 已剔除

Blitzy does the opposite.

Before writing a single line, Blitzy spends days reverse engineering your entire codebase.

Thousands of agents ingest millions of lines, mapping every dependency, every undocumented constraint, every architectural decision made over the last decade.

The result is a dynamic knowledge graph that understands your software the way a principal engineer would after 30 years in the building.

Other tools guess at context with grep searches and markdown files.

Blitzy never guesses.

It builds true understanding first, then delivers over 80% of entire software epics autonomously.

Validated, end-to-end tested, production-grade pull requests.

That's why Fortune 500 engineering teams trust Blitzy with the codebases that matter most.

See for yourself at blitzy.com.

That's blitzy.com.

M1
M115:00广告 · 已剔除

That's one of the reasons I like today's sponsor, Robots and Pencils.

They've gone all in on AWS.

They're an advanced tier AWS pattern partner, and they ship production AI coworkers in 45 days.

That's led to them doing some of the more interesting work I've seen on AI coworkers.

And by that, I'm not talking about chatbots.

I'm talking about actual agentic systems that sit inside a business architecture and do real work.

M1
M115:27广告 · 已剔除

Request an AI briefing at robotsandpencils.com.

One conversation with Robots and Pencils and you'll know.

M1
M115:48广告 · 已剔除

Harbor Capital Advisors' AI Lab Ecosystem ETF suite gives investors a way to gain exposure to the AI ecosystem they believe is best positioned for success.

Search Harbor AI Lab Ecosystem ETFs wherever you invest, or follow @HarborCapital on X to learn more.

Visit harborcapital.com for a prospectus containing investment objectives, risks, fees, expenses, and other important information.

Read and consider it carefully before investing.

Risks include principal loss and artificial intelligence-related risks.

Harbor ETFs are distributed by Foresight Fund Services, LLC.

Harbor is not affiliated with AI Daily Brief, and the funds are not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by any AI lab.

This is a paid advertisement and not personalized investment advice.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.

This episode of the AI Daily Brief is brought to you by HyperAgent, where you run fleets of agents your team can manage together.

New users get $1,000 in inference.

Forget local agents and chat workflows waiting on your laptop to be prompted.

HyperAgent deploys always-on agents in the cloud, doing real work across the tools your team already uses.

Marketing's agent turns competitor moves into landing pages.

Sales' agent enriches leads, drafts emails, and updates the CRM.

Ops' agent chases the paperwork and tracks the budget.

Every agent has access to shared context and follows your rules about scope and approvals.

It's time you add agents that feel like teammates.

Hire yours at HyperAgent, built by the team at Airtable.

Claim your $1,000 in inference at hyperagent.com/AIDailyBrief.

M1
M129:43广告 · 已剔除

If you're not following Every and Dan Schipper yet, They're always doing interesting things like that, so I highly encourage it.