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1996年股东大会 · 巴菲特芒格在1996年股东大会上推荐的书籍

42 段 · 2 位说话人 · 原片 4:02
M1
M10:00

哦,书啊。

Oh, the books.

Charlie,你这些天在看什么?

Charlie, what are you reading these days?
M2
M20:04

这个嘛,我都快不好意思说了,因为我又回过头去捡起了生物学这块——这是我以前一直拖着没学的,其实早在十年、十五年前就该学了。

Well, I'm almost ashamed to report because I've gone back and picked up the part of biology that I put off—should have picked up 10 or 15 years earlier.

如果你们在座有谁还没去了解,那我跟你们说,生物学在过去二十年、三十年里搞明白的那些东西,简直精彩得像马戏团一样。

And if any of you haven't done it, it's a total circus what they figured out over the last 20 or 30 years in biology.

如果你去读 Dawkins 的 The Selfish Gene 和 The Blind Watchmaker,我是说,这些都是了不起的书,而且这些书里有些词,正在进入英语语言本身,将来都会进下一版 Oxford Dictionary。

And if you take Dawkins' The Selfish Gene and The Blind Watchmaker, I mean, these are marvelous books, and there are words in those books that are entering the English language that are going to be in the next Oxford Dictionary.

我是说,这些书非常有力量,而且读起来特别有意思。

I mean, these are powerful books, and they're a lot of fun.

我得把 The Selfish Gene 读两遍,才算真正完全明白,而且里面有些东西,推翻了我一辈子都一直相信的一些看法。

I had to read The Selfish Gene twice before I fully understood it, and there were things I believed all my life that weren't so.

我觉得,能有这种体验真是太棒了。

And I think it's just wonderful when you have those experiences.

我们总是说,难的不是学习,而是把原来那些东西忘掉。

We always say it isn't the learning that's so hard, it's the unlearning.
M1
M11:01

对。

Yeah.

我犯了个错误,去年十二月把 Charlie 带去了 Microsoft,结果他跟 Nathan Myhrvold 成了朋友,然后他们俩就开始来来回回通信,而且讨论得越来越热烈、越来越兴奋,话题全都是 mole rats。他们还把这些往来的邮件都抄送给我,所以我就一直看到他们这样一来一回。

I made the mistake of taking Charlie up to Microsoft in December, and he became friends with Nathan Myhrvold, and they are corresponding back and forth with increasing fervor and enthusiasm about mole rats, and they, they copy me on all these communications, so I'm getting to see this flow back and forth.

鼹形鼠的习性。

The Habits of Mole Rats.

我现在确实还没找到办法把这个应用到 Berkshire 上,不过我相信 Charlie 肯定已经在琢磨什么了。

I really haven't found a way to apply it at Berkshire, but I'm sure Charlie has got something he's working on.

他最近对生物学特别感兴趣。

He's gotten very interested in biology lately.

我喜欢——我一直都喜欢读传记,不过自从电脑改变了我的生活以后,我发现自己现在每周会在电脑上打大概十个小时的桥牌。

I like—I've always liked reading biography, but since the computer's changed my life, I now find myself playing bridge on the computer about 10 hours a week.

很不幸,我又不想放弃睡觉、吃饭,或者 Berkshire,所以读书这方面最近就比较少了。

And unfortunately, I didn't want to give up sleep or eating or Berkshire, so the reading has been kind of light.

要是你问的是投资类书籍,我会推荐 Phil Fisher 大概在一九六零年前后写的前两本书,Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits,还有第二本。

On investment books, if you're asking about that, I would recommend the first 2 books that Phil Fisher wrote back around 1960, Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, and the second one.

那都是非常好的书。

Those are very good books.

你知道,我当然首先、也是最重要地推荐 The Intelligent Investor,尤其是第八章和第二十章,这两章你真的应该读。

You know, I obviously recommend first and foremost The Intelligent Investor, with chapters 8 and 20 are the ones that you really should read.

投资里两条——嗯,其实所有重要的理念,基本上都在那本书里。

2 of the—well, all of the important ideas in investing really are in that book.

因为投资其实也就大概三条理念,其中有两条就在那两章里重点讲了。

'Cause there's only about 3 ideas and those 2 of them are emphasized in those 2 chapters.

其实,我觉得 John Train 的 Money Masters 是一本挺有意思的书。

Actually, I think John Train's Money Masters is an interesting book.

我不知道,Charlie,你还能想到别的我们想推荐的书吗?

I don't know, can you think of any others, Charlie, that we want to tout?
M2
M22:37

我不知道,我们在 Berkshire Hathaway 一向就是那种掰着手指头和脚趾头算的风格。

I don't know, we have such a fingers and toes style around Berkshire Hathaway.

不是,我们就是简单数一数——

No, you just sort of count and—
M1
M12:47

对。

Yeah.
M2
M22:47

我可从来没见过那种东西。

I've never seen it.

你知道,Warren 老说这些 discounted cash flows。

You know, Warren talks about these discounted cash flows.

我可从来没见他真做过一个。

I've never seen him do one.
M1
M12:58

对。

Yeah.

如果不是——有些事情你只能私下里做,Charlie。

If it isn't— there are some things you only do in private, Charlie.
M2
M23:04

如果算一算之后,不能明显到一眼就看出来这事会有很好的结果,他通常就会转去看下一个想法。

If it isn't blindingly obvious that it's going to work out well if you do the calculation, he tends to go on to the next idea.
M1
M13:12

对,这有点像是自动——确实是这样。

Yeah, it's sort of auto— it is true.

你不会——如果你真得拿铅笔和纸去算,那就说明这事太接近临界点了,不值得考虑。

You don't— if you have to actually do it with pencil and paper, it's too close to think about.

我的意思是,它应该是那种几乎会冲着你大喊:这里有巨大的安全边际。

I mean, it ought to just kind of scream at you that you've got this huge margin of safety.

我提到了三个观点。

I mentioned the 3 ideas.

这三个观点我应该展开讲讲。

The 3 ideas I should elaborate on.

第一,是把自己想成是在拥有一家企业,把投资看成是拥有一家企业,而不是去买一个价格会上下波动的东西。

One is to think of yourself, to think of investing as owning a business and not buying something that wiggles around in price.

第二,是你的态度,这和第一点是连在一起的,也就是对市场的态度,这在第八章里有讲到。

And the second one is your attitude, which ties in with that, the attitude toward the market that's covered in Chapter 8.

如果你对市场波动有正确的态度,那对做 securities 投资会有非常大的帮助。

And if you have the proper attitude toward market movements, it's an enormous help in securities.

最后一章讲的是安全边际。意思就是,不要试图开着一辆九千八百磅重的卡车,去过一座标着承重一万磅的桥。

And then the final chapter is on the margin of safety, which means don't try and drive a 9,800-pound truck over a bridge that says, you know, capacity 10,000 pounds.

而是沿着路再往前走一点,找一座标着承重一万五千磅的桥。

But go down the road a little bit and find one that says capacity 15,000 pounds.