M10:34
我会这么说：在我这一生里，有很多次，人们都觉得这个国家比分裂程度前所未有地严重。我也经历过一些时期，那时候我认识并且敬佩的人会觉得，因为另一个党派掌权了，以后就再也不会有下一次选举了，宪法也会——反正各种说法我都听过。
I would say this: multiple times in my life, people felt the country was more divided than ever, and I've gone through periods where people I knew and admired thought that because the other party was in power, that there never would be another election, that the Constitution would— I've heard everything.
现在，有意思的是这张一九四二年的报纸。
Now, the interesting thing is this paper from 1942.
从那以后，就从我十一岁刚开始涉足股市算起，美国已经有过十四位总统了。
Since then, there have been 14 American presidents just since my young venture into the stock market at 11.
在美国历任的四十四位总统里，我的人生经历过其中十四位。
I've lived under 14 of the 44 presidents the United States has had.
现在，他们把 Trump 叫作第四十五任，但因为他们把 Grover Cleveland 算了两次，所以实际上美国真正只有四十四位总统。
Now, they call Trump 45, but they count Grover Cleveland twice, so there's really only been 44 presidents of the United States.
而在这段时间里，也就是那一万美元变成五千一百万美元的这段时期，四十四位总统里有十四位是在任的。
And 14 of the 44 have been during this period when that $10,000 became $51 million.
其中七位是 Republicans，七位是 Democrats。
Seven have been Republicans, seven have been Democrats.
有一位遭到暗杀，有一位辞职了。
One has been assassinated, one has resigned.
是在压力之下辞职的。
Under pressure.
这个体系是行得通的。
It works.
如果你在一开始就告诉我，之后会有 Cuban Missile Crisis，会有 nuclear weapons，会有二零零八年的恐慌，一场金融恐慌，还会有很多次衰退，还会有六十年代末因为国家分裂而出现的街头冲突，那你肯定会说，那我他妈为什么还要买股票？
If you'd told me at the start that you'd have a Cuban Missile Crisis and you'd have nuclear weapons and you'd have a panic in 2008, a financial panic, and you'd have many recessions and you'd have war in the streets in the late '60s from a divided country, you'd say, why the hell are you buying stocks?
可经历了这一切之后，美国虽然一路跌跌撞撞，但它确实、确实一直在向前进。
And through it all, America, in fits and starts, but America really, really moves ahead.
而且我们总是——我们连 Civil War 都挺过来了。
And we are always— we survived the Civil War.
我的意思是，我当然不愿意去想必须用那种方式，但这个国家，如果往回看我三辈子那么长的时间，其实还不到我三个生命周期。
I mean, I hate to think of having to do it that way, but this country, in only less than 3 of my lifetimes, if you go back 3 of my lifetimes.
往回推大概二百六十三年吧，那时候 Thomas Jefferson 才十二岁。
You go back 263 years, I guess, and Thomas Jefferson is 12 years old.
而那也不过就是三个我的一生，而且当时这里什么都没有。
And that's just 3, and there was nothing here.
你看，你们今天都是从各地飞来 Omaha 的，而你们飞过的是一个拥有超过七千五百万套自住房、两亿六千万辆汽车，以及伟大的大学、医疗体系和各种基础设施的国家。
You know, you've flown in from all over to Omaha today, and you flew over a country with more than 75 million owner-occupied homes and 260 million vehicles and great universities and medical systems and everything.
而这一切净增长出来的成果，只用了还不到我三个生命周期的时间。
And it's all a net gain in less than 3 of my lifetimes.
所以说，自从我买下第一只股票以来，我们已经经历了这些事情。
So, and we've had these events since I started buying my first stock.
这个国家确实、确实行得通，而且它永远都会有很多分歧。
This country really, really works, and it always will have lots of disagreements.
每次选举之后，都会有人觉得世界要完了，会说，怎么会发生这种事？
And after every election, you'll have people feeling the world is coming to an end, and, you know, how could this happen?
我还记得一九五二年，我未来的岳父在我和他女儿结婚之前，想先跟我谈一谈。
And I remember my future father-in-law in 1952, he wanted to have a talk with me before his daughter and I got married.
所以我有点不情愿地坐下来，他对我说，Warren，他说，我只想告诉你一件事。
So kind of reluctantly, I sat down with him, and he said, Warren, he said, there's just one thing I want to tell you.
他说，你会失败的。
He said, you're going to fail.
他说，你知道，Democrats 会上台，他们会接管这个国家，而你会失败。不过你也别觉得这是你的责任，因为这不是你的错。
He said, you know, the Democrats are going to get in, you know, they're going to take over the country, and you're going to fail, but don't feel responsible for it because it's not your fault.
我是说，他是想让我别再觉得，好像他女儿快要饿死了，这都是我的错。
I mean, he wanted to absolve me from this feeling that while his daughter was starving to death, it was my fault.
而我呢，一直在买股票，日子也一点点变得更好，不过——如果 Republicans 在台上，那就没问题，而且我过得好，都是因为他们。
And I kept buying stocks and doing a little bit better all the time, but, and if the Republicans were in, it was okay, and it was because of them that I was doing well.
可要是他们下台了，
And if they were out.
那就完了。
Forget it.
一切都会消失。
It was all going to disappear.
所以这么多年下来——我见过很多美国的公众舆论。
So I've been— I've seen a lot of American public opinion over the years.
我也看过很多媒体评论。
I've seen a lot of media commentary.
我也见过那些新闻标题。
I've seen the headlines.
但等你把这一切都看完之后，你会发现，这个国家的人均 GDP，已经是我出生时的六倍了。
And when you get all through with it, this country has six times the per capita GDP, the GDP per capita that it had when I was born.
就在一个人的一生里。
One person's lifetime.
整整翻了六倍。
Six-for-one change.
这屋里的每一个人，基本上都在很多方面比 John D. Rockefeller Sr. 过得更好。你知道，在我小时候那段时间，他可是世界上最有钱的人。
Everybody in this room essentially is living better in multiple ways than John D. Rockefeller Sr. was, who was the richest person, you know, in the world at the, uh, during my early years.
而且，我们所有人的生活，都比他当年能过上的更好。
And, and we're all living better than he could live.
所以这是一个了不起、了不起的国家，我们找到了某种非常特别的东西。
So this is a remarkable, remarkable, uh, country, and we found something very special.
如果让我选，我真愿意做一个今天出生在美国的婴儿。
I would love to be a baby being born in the United States today.
Charlie，好，Charlie，不过这事儿你也说说另一面。
Charlie, okay, Charlie, you give the other side of this though.
嗯，人们总是倾向于觉得，现在的政客比过去我们有过的任何政客都糟得多，但我们往往忘了，过去的政客其实也糟糕得很。
Well, there's a tendency to think that our present politicians are much worse than any we had in the past, but we tend to forget how awful our politicians were in the past.
我还记得，有一位很有名的参议员，特别认真地争辩说，资质平庸的人应该在 United States Supreme Court 里有更多代表。
I can remember a prominent senator arguing with absolute earnestness that mediocre people ought to have more representation on the United States Supreme Court.
对，顺便说一句，他是 Nebraska 来的，对吧？
Yeah, he came from Nebraska, incidentally, right?
没错。
He did.
他是 Nebraska 来的。
He came from Nebraska.
所以我们现在还没糟到那个地步。
So we're not quite as bad as that yet.